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Whitestone REIT (WSR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered solid operational growth: Core FFO/share rose 5.4% YoY to $0.26, occupancy increased 100bps sequentially to 93.9%, and net effective ABR climbed 5.3% YoY to $25.28 .
- Mixed vs consensus: EPS of $0.10 beat, while revenue of $37.9M missed; management reaffirmed FY guidance (Core FFO/share $1.03–$1.07, same-store NOI 3.0–4.5%, year-end occupancy 94–95%) * * .
- Guidance updated only for interest expense (raised to $33–34M from $32–33M); other metrics maintained, signaling confidence in leasing momentum and redevelopment pipeline .
- Strategic catalysts: two acquisitions (San Clemente, Austin; South Hulen, Fort Worth), redevelopment at Lion Square nearing completion (Q3), and strong Sun Belt demand underpin longer-term 5–7% Core FFO growth target .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Core FFO/share up 5.4% YoY to $0.26; straight-line leasing spreads remained strong at 17.9% (new leases 41.4%, renewals 15.2%); occupancy rose 100bps sequentially to 93.9% .
- Portfolio remerchandising traction: $33.2M total lease value signed; ABR up 5.3% YoY to $25.28; two high-profile tenants (EoS Windsor Park, Cactus Club Cafe at BLVD Place) expected to add 150bps to same-store NOI in 2026 .
- Balance sheet improving: LTM pro forma Debt/EBITDAre down to 7.2x (from 7.8x YoY); dividend ~50% of FFO remains well-supported; liquidity of $5.3M cash and $69M available revolver .
Management quote: “We are on track for our previously communicated 2025 full year guidance and are reaffirming our core FFO per share, same store NOI growth, and year-end occupancy guidance ranges this morning.”
What Went Wrong
- Revenue below consensus ($37.9M vs $38.5M*); the company raised FY interest expense guidance by $1M to reflect acquisitions ahead of dispositions * .
- Same-store NOI growth moderated to 2.5% in Q2 (down from 4.8% in Q1), as free rent on larger tenants phases out and leasing benefits back-half weighted .
- EPS and revenue also missed in Q1 2025 and Q2 2024, showing ongoing cadence variability from remerchandising and timing (termination fees, percentage rents seasonality) * * .
Financial Results
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global consensus; asterisk denotes S&P Global values)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and Balance Sheet (quarter-end)
- Bad debt: just under 1% of revenues in Q2 2025 .
- LTM pro forma Debt/EBITDAre: 7.2x (goal ~7x by YE) .
- Liquidity: Cash $5.3M; Revolver availability $69M .
- Total debt: $671.2M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered core FFO per share of $0.26 for the quarter… Straight line leasing spreads of 17.9%, our 13th consecutive quarter with leasing spreads in excess of 17%.”
- “We had two strategic acquisitions in the quarter, San Clemente in Austin and South Hulen in Fort Worth… Both fit very well within our overall strategy.”
- “We reiterated our 2025 $1.03–$1.07 core FFO per share guidance… year-end occupancy 94%–95%… bad debt just under 1% of revenues.”
- “We signed $33.2 million of total lease value… combined leasing spread of 17.9%… EoS and Cactus Club Cafe will contribute over 150 bps to same-store NOI in 2026.”
Q&A Highlights
- Same-store NOI trajectory: Confidence in back-half improvement as free rent periods end and signed larger tenants commence; Q2 same-store moderated due to timing .
- Recycling plans: ~$40M acquisitions and ~$40M dispositions likely already in process; aim to upgrade portfolio quality while balancing capital .
- Interest expense: Guidance lifted by ~$1M due to acquisitions preceding dispositions; expected offset by non-same-store NOI .
- Leverage outlook: LTM around ~7x by YE; Q4 annualized mid-6x .
- Cap rates/pricing: Recent acquisitions at 6.4–6.7% going-in yields; expectation to add a couple hundred bps through remerchandising/redevelopment .
- The Picklr: Commencement in back half; minimal same-store impact in 2025 given concessions; stronger contribution thereafter .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 EPS beat: $0.10 vs $0.08333 consensus*; revenue miss: $37.892M vs $38.549M consensus*. Q1 2025 and Q2 2024 both missed on revenue and EPS, reflecting variability from remerchandising timing and free rent cycles * *.
- Given reaffirmed FY guidance and strong signed-but-not-yet-rent-paying tenants, Street models should bias higher on 2H same-store NOI and 2026 NOI uplift from EoS/Cactus Club commencements .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Leasing momentum and remerchandising are intact; expect stronger same-store NOI in H2 as free rent burns off; watch occupancy progression toward 94–95% target .
- Earnings mix is improving via higher ABR and tenant quality; redevelopment (Lion Square, Williams Trace follow-through) adds embedded LT NOI upside .
- Portfolio quality upgrade continues through disciplined recycling; recent acquisitions at mid-6% cap rates offer yield expansion through Whitestone’s operating model .
- Balance sheet trend positive with LTM Debt/EBITDAre at 7.2x and facility recast underway; dividend (~50% FFO payout) appears durable with room to grow alongside earnings .
- Near-term modeling: Raise 2H 2025 same-store NOI assumptions and 2026 contributions from EoS/Cactus Club; incorporate $1M higher interest expense run-rate in FY 2025 .
- Watch catalysts: Large tenant commencements, Lion Square completion (Q3), additional acquisitions/dispositions (~$40M each), credit facility recast update next call .
Additional relevant press releases: South Hulen acquisition (Fort Worth) on June 17, 2025 ; Q3 dividend declaration on June 10, 2025 ; Q2 earnings webcast announcement on July 2, 2025 .